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HP Software's community for IT leaders // October 2013
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Your cloud forecast: 3 fast-approaching trends

How three cloud trends, already in motion today, will dramatically change the world by 2020.

The bottom line

What: The cloud is transforming how you do business—and how you can innovate.
Key trends: Enterprise 20/20 offers insight into where cloud technology is going, and its implications for big data, security, and bottom-line business value.
More: Read the Cloud 2020 white paper, or visit Enterprise2020.com for more resources.

Tremendous social, economic, and technological changes have occurred in the last decade, and enterprise IT has changed along with them. The Enterprise 20/20 collaborative ebook project has released a new paper detailing how one of those tech trends—cloud computing—will shape the enterprise in the next several years.

The paper identifies seven key trends that IT leaders should recognize and prepare for—or, where possible, get ahead of. Here we dive into the first three of those trends.

Trend 1: Cognitive systems as human partners

Google’s self-driving car is a glimpse of the future, and by 2020, autonomous transportation systems will manage vehicle flow through a megacity of 20 million people. This will be made possible by combining a vast array of traffic sensors, advanced real-time analytics, and the immense computing power required to perform cognitive decision-making on the fly and at scale.

What does it mean for the enterprise? Increasing population densities demand ever-better management of the systems that support us. We must optimize these systems so that we don’t waste resources while striving to improve our quality of life. We will see these cognitive systems used to manage utilities, emergency services, and crime prevention. We’ll also see ultra-optimized supply chains where we know the position of every item in the chain.

Trend 2: Computation re-imagined

The rapid growth of data—traditional business data, unstructured data (email, social media, etc.), and machine/sensor data—is a challenge that also presents great opportunity. By 2020, new computer/storage blocks will allow us to take in and process huge amounts of data in real time. And networks, especially mobile networks, will be faster, securely handling much greater traffic.

What does it mean for the enterprise? Our development systems must evolve to program arrays of hundreds of thousands of processors optimally. Our existing IT management systems won’t scale to manage such environments. IT management in 2020 will be very good at flexing—adjusting to peak demands that could be 20, 50, or 100 times the normal run rate. These systems must also be self-healing. We see this technology evolving today with run-book automation, but to handle the systems of 2020, self-adjusting and self-healing will have to be programmed in during development, not bolted on after release.

Trend 3: Insight to help humans

By the data-drenched year of 2020, our scarcest resource will be our own attention spans, so automated systems that focus us on the things that are important will have tremendous value. We’ll need a system that offers savings, speed, and convenience by understanding our needs through micro-segmentation that targets information and offerings based on those needs.

What does it mean for the enterprise? Product and service designers will need to design systems that:

  • Determine the human user’s current situation
  • Understand precisely what the person wants
  • Use powerful analytical ability to make highly focused and insightful suggestions

Get more perspectives on the future of cloud

The cloud is changing almost everything about the way we run business IT, and HP’s Enterprise 20/20 initiative imagines all the ways in which things will continue to change.

For insight into the other trends, including the personalized power of the cloud and issues of privacy and security, as well as a sharp look at the shrinking but increasingly vital IT department, read the Cloud 2020 white paper, or visit Enterprise2020.com for more resources.


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